Burger King Reveals Facebook Valuation

by Sam on January 10, 2009

Burger King Reveals Facebook Valuation

I loved this outside-the-box thinking by Jason Kottke on Facebook’s Valuation so I’m reblogging:

Burger King recently introduced a Facebook app called Whopper Sacrifice that allows users to delete ten of their friends in exchange for a Whopper sandwich. Watch the app in action.

What BK has unwittingly done here is provide a way to determine the valuation of Facebook. Let’s assume that the majority of Facebook’s value comes from the connections between their users. From Facebook’s statistics page, we learn that the site has 150 million users and the average user has 100 friends. Each friendship is requires the assent of both friends so really each user can, on average, only end half of their friendships. The price of a Whopper is approximately $2.40. That means that each user’s friendships is worth around 5 Whoppers, or $12. Do the math and:

$12/user X 150M users = $1.8 billion valuation for Facebook

That’s considerably less than the $15 billion valuation assigned to Facebook when Microsoft invested in the company in October 2007 and the lower valuations being tossed about in recent months.

Burger King Reveals Facebook Valuation
  • http://www.beingpeterkim.com Peter Kim

    Novel approach, but fatal flaw in the customer segmentation and methodology. The valuation only applies to Burger King customers on Facebook, plus the exchange rate is fixed. A better approach might be a basket of goods offered via an auction format – wider net, market-based value…

  • http://www.altgate.com/ fnazeeri

    I think that's high by 2/3 since it only costs BK about 32 cents on the dollar to give away a Whopper.

  • http://www.leveragingideas.com Sam Huleatt

    Good point Peter! I do think it's interesting to — in essence — reverse engineer valuations by looking at how easily users would leave as opposed to what each user is worth.

  • http://www.leveragingideas.com Sam Huleatt

    @fnazeeri Agreed…I wonder how BK is holding up in this economy

  • Allen

    I could be wrong but I have a feeling that the fast food industry might be making out like bandits in this economy. Here is my logic behind it…Classy restaurants are becoming way too expensive for anyone to go on a consistent basis. Most people are too lazy to go to the grocery store let alone cook meals for the family every single night of the week. What is the other option? Fast food that doesn't cost much yet is easy and convenient. $2.99 meal at Jack-In-The-Box right now compared to a $20+ meal per person at a sit-down restaurant or slaving over a hot stove for hours…

  • http://www.GoFlexBox.com CJ

    Check your math at the end. I think 1 whopper = 20 friends so a friend is only worth $0.12 cents.

    Sorry facebook = $18 million

  • http://www.GoFlexBox.com CJ

    Check your math at the end. I think 1 whopper = 20 friends so a friend is only worth $0.12 cents.

    Sorry facebook = $18 million

  • alcinasalls

    It is great now the Facebook will start earning much more then they were before. I am a facebook fan and i have been using it since a long time, and even i love the burgers of Burger King.
    fitflop

  • willamtarker

    Now the facebook users will be adding the people who they are not familiar about and then they will delete at the burger king to get a free burger. As I wont be deleting the friends from my list for just a burger.
    trusted pharmacies

  • http://www.avenuesocial.com Facebook App Development

    It’s an attractive point you raised.

  • http://www.avenuesocial.com Facebook App Development

    It’s an attractive point you raised.

  • http://www.avenuesocial.com Facebook App Development

    It’s an attractive point you raised.